World Series Game Situation Winning Probabilities: How Often Do Teams Come Back From Behind?

Author: Douglas Jordan, Ph.D.

Publication: The Baseball Research Journal

Publication Date: Fall 2014

Abstract:
You’re ecstatic that your favorite team won the League Championship Series to get into the World Series, but your pitching ace performs poorly and the team loses Game One. There is a general perception among many baseball fans that losing the first game of a seven-game series is not a big setback, but is this fact or an unsubstantiated belief?

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